Eredivisie Round 12

PEC Zwolle vs Willem II analysis

PEC Zwolle Willem II
71 ELO 71
8.1% Tilt 12.1%
366º General ELO ranking 375º
12º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
44.8%
PEC Zwolle
24.6%
Draw
30.6%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.6%
Win probability
Willem II
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PEC Zwolle
+6%
-21%
Willem II

ELO progression

PEC Zwolle
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2018
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
3 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
33%
25%
41%
72 66 6 0
30 Oct. 2018
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 5
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
38%
24%
39%
70 65 5 +2
27 Oct. 2018
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
Heracles
HER
34%
25%
41%
70 74 4 0
21 Oct. 2018
FEY
Feyenoord
3 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
70%
18%
12%
72 84 12 -2
06 Oct. 2018
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
2 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
48%
24%
27%
71 70 1 +1

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2018
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
78%
15%
8%
71 87 16 0
31 Oct. 2018
WIL
Willem II
5 - 0
Spakenburg
SPA
79%
14%
6%
70 48 22 +1
28 Oct. 2018
WIL
Willem II
0 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
27%
25%
49%
70 77 7 0
21 Oct. 2018
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 2
Willem II
WIL
33%
25%
42%
71 66 5 -1
07 Oct. 2018
WIL
Willem II
1 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
16%
20%
63%
71 84 13 0