KNVB Beker 1/16

PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda analysis

PEC Zwolle NAC Breda
77 ELO 75
10.2% Tilt 20.7%
362º General ELO ranking 617º
12º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
55.7%
PEC Zwolle
21%
Draw
23.3%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.3%
Win probability
NAC Breda
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PEC Zwolle
+10%
-7%
NAC Breda

ELO progression

PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2000
HER
Heracles
1 - 2
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
22%
23%
55%
76 62 14 0
30 Sep. 2000
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
FC Eindhoven
EIN
75%
16%
9%
76 62 14 0
25 Sep. 2000
FCO
TOP Oss
3 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
14%
21%
66%
77 52 25 -1
16 Sep. 2000
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
Helmond Sport
HEL
76%
15%
9%
77 62 15 0
04 Sep. 2000
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
5 - 0
HFC Haarlem
HFC
83%
12%
5%
77 55 22 0

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2000
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
49%
24%
27%
75 76 1 0
16 Sep. 2000
NAC
NAC Breda
3 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
64%
21%
15%
74 67 7 +1
13 Sep. 2000
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 1
RBC Roosendaal
RBC
70%
18%
12%
74 62 12 0
09 Sep. 2000
SCH
Heerenveen
2 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
59%
22%
20%
74 80 6 0
06 Sep. 2000
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
40%
26%
34%
74 80 6 0