PEC Zwolle vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZWO
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 0
BVO
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 5
ZWO
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 3
SPA
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
PSV
0 - 0
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
5 - 2
HEL
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
EIN
3 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |