Ukraine Third Division Round 16

PFK Zvyagel vs Nyva Vinnytsya analysis

PFK Zvyagel Nyva Vinnytsya
65 ELO 53
-1.1% Tilt 14.7%
49577º General ELO ranking 5682º
342º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
57.9%
PFK Zvyagel
23.6%
Draw
18.5%
Nyva Vinnytsya

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
PFK Zvyagel
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.5%
Win probability
Nyva Vinnytsya
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

PFK Zvyagel
Their league position
Nyva Vinnytsya
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
33
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
UCSA
62
65
34.5%
PFK Zvyagel
61
65
42%
Druzhba
62
65
27.5%
Chayka
51
54
99%
Skala Stryi
41
42
51.5%
Karpaty II
39
42
28%
Kudrivka
40
40
35.5%
Nyva Vinnytsya
33
39
34%
Rukh Lviv II
37
37
57%
VAST Mykolaiv
15º
0
32
10º
33%
Lokomotiv Kyiv
10º
28
31
11º
52%
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
13º
16
25
12º
27%
FK Trostyanets
11º
21
24
13º
44.5%
Real Pharma
12º
19
19
14º
82.5%
Kremin II
14º
6
7
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
PFK Zvyagel
Nyva Vinnytsya
Promotion
22% 0%
Promotion play-offs
78% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

PFK Zvyagel
Nyva Vinnytsya
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PFK Zvyagel
PFK Zvyagel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2023
SST
Skala Stryi
1 - 3
PFK Zvyagel
FCZ
30%
26%
44%
63 55 8 0
11 Oct. 2023
FKK
Kudrivka
0 - 4
PFK Zvyagel
FCZ
14%
20%
66%
63 36 27 0
06 Oct. 2023
FCZ
PFK Zvyagel
0 - 1
Druzhba
FCD
77%
16%
8%
63 31 32 0
01 Oct. 2023
KAR
Karpaty II
0 - 2
PFK Zvyagel
FCZ
30%
26%
44%
62 54 8 +1
23 Sep. 2023
MET
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
0 - 5
PFK Zvyagel
FCZ
18%
21%
61%
62 44 18 0

Matches

Nyva Vinnytsya
Nyva Vinnytsya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2023
MET
Metalurh Zaporizhya II
0 - 2
Nyva Vinnytsya
NYV
22%
23%
56%
54 37 17 0
21 Oct. 2023
NYV
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 - 0
Real Pharma
RPH
70%
18%
12%
53 43 10 +1
15 Oct. 2023
UCS
UCSA
3 - 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
NYV
20%
22%
57%
54 37 17 -1
11 Oct. 2023
NYV
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 - 1
Chayka
CHA
43%
26%
31%
54 56 2 0
05 Oct. 2023
FKK
Kremin II
0 - 5
Nyva Vinnytsya
NYV
16%
21%
63%
54 29 25 0