Crimean Premier League Round 4

FC Zarechnoye vs Ocean Kerch analysis

FC Zarechnoye Ocean Kerch
13 ELO 14
-1.7% Tilt 0%
15585º General ELO ranking 14946º
167º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
24.4%
FC Zarechnoye
21.1%
Draw
54.5%
Ocean Kerch

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
FC Zarechnoye
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
54.5%
Win probability
Ocean Kerch
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Zarechnoye
+442%
+1%
Ocean Kerch

ELO progression

FC Zarechnoye
Ocean Kerch
GFK Yalta
Tavriya Simferopol
FK Kyzyltash
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Zarechnoye
FC Zarechnoye
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
YAL
GFK Yalta
1 - 1
FC Zarechnoye
FCZ
59%
19%
22%
11 12 1 0
05 Apr. 2025
FCZ
FC Zarechnoye
0 - 1
Tavriya Simferopol
TSK
8%
12%
80%
11 38 27 0
29 Mar. 2025
FCG
FC Gvardiya
0 - 6
FC Zarechnoye
FCZ
70%
16%
14%
9 13 4 +2

Matches

Ocean Kerch
Ocean Kerch
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2025
TSK
Tavriya Simferopol
2 - 0
Ocean Kerch
OCE
86%
9%
4%
16 38 22 0
06 Apr. 2025
OCE
Ocean Kerch
1 - 0
Griffon
FKG
79%
13%
8%
16 8 8 0
29 Mar. 2025
KYB
FK Kyzyltash
0 - 1
Ocean Kerch
OCE
69%
16%
15%
15 19 4 +1
16 Nov. 2024
OCE
Ocean Kerch
7 - 0
FK Alushta
ALU
71%
16%
13%
14 7 7 +1
10 Nov. 2024
KYB
FK Kyzyltash
4 - 0
Ocean Kerch
OCE
63%
18%
19%
15 18 3 -1