FC Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1954 |
FCW
3 - 0
FAC
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
LAS
3 - 0
FCW
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
FCW
1 - 1
AUS
31%
21%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1954 |
FCW
5 - 2
RBS
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
RAP
7 - 2
FCW
84%
10%
7%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
STR
1 - 6
AUS
34%
21%
46%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1954 |
RAP
6 - 4
STR
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
STR
2 - 0
RBS
52%
21%
27%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1954 |
AWM
2 - 0
STR
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
STR
3 - 3
GRA
43%
22%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |