Weesen vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
16º
16º
55
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCW
3 - 0
FCW
74%
17%
10%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCW
2 - 1
FRE
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCP
5 - 1
FCW
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCW
1 - 7
FCG
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UZW
4 - 0
FCW
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 1
TUG
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
LUG
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
ESC
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |