Volov Shumen vs Cherno More Varna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+154%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
15º
6º
3
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
6 | 36 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 36 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 35 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 33 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 30 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 29 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 26 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 21 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 18 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 11 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 9 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 8 |
17º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
CHE
3 - 0
SHU
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SHU
3 - 0
KUB
87%
9%
3%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FRA
1 - 8
SHU
9%
15%
76%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SHU
1 - 0
LUD
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 3
SHU
9%
16%
75%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
CMV
2 - 1
AKS
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
BIS
1 - 0
CMV
19%
20%
62%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
FKR
3 - 4
CMV
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CMV
3 - 0
SVE
78%
14%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CHE
2 - 1
CMV
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |