Afragolese vs Muravera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 0
AFR
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AFR
5 - 0
OST
48%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
AFR
2 - 1
CYN
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 1
AFR
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 1
AFR
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 3
GLA
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
MUR
36%
23%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIS
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
TNF
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |