Afragolese vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OST
2 - 0
AFR
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CYN
2 - 0
AFR
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AFR
3 - 1
SSC
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LAN
3 - 2
AFR
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 1
SSC
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ARZ
3 - 1
GLA
38%
26%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
ARZ
59%
21%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 3
ARZ
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 2
TNF
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |