Afragolese vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 3
AFR
25%
22%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AFR
4 - 3
VIS
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
AFR
0 - 2
SAS
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
AFR
1 - 2
TNF
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
AFR
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VIS
1 - 0
APR
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
APR
2 - 3
MUR
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
APR
1 - 2
TNF
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAS
1 - 0
APR
50%
26%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
ARZ
59%
21%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |