FC Victoria Bardar vs Real Succes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
4º
1º
7
8º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Victoria Bardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 1
FCV
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCS
83%
11%
6%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ZIM
3 - 0
FCV
38%
23%
39%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCV
14%
19%
66%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
9 - 0
FCO
78%
14%
9%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
FCS
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
FCO
2 - 0
REA
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
REA
0 - 4
SPA
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 6
REA
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REA
1 - 7
FCV
15%
20%
66%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |