Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
8º
14º
9º
10
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 58 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 57 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 51 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 48 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 47 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 43 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 41 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 40 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 35 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 33 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 30 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 23 |
16º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 36% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 26% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veres Rivne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
POL
1 - 0
FCV
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FCV
0 - 1
DYN
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
RYV
1 - 2
FCV
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
OBO
0 - 1
FCV
36%
26%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
0 - 1
FCV
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 0
PAN
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
KPT
3 - 3
SHA
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 0
SHA
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
FED
0 - 1
SHA
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 0
BJK
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |