Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-2
FC Vaduz vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FCV
1 - 2
LAU
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ZAL
1 - 0
FCV
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
FCV
14%
21%
66%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
LSO
3 - 2
FCV
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
FCV
1 - 0
LSO
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ZAL
1 - 0
FCV
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
ZAL
1 - 1
KLA
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
KLA
1 - 2
ZAL
38%
23%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
LIE
0 - 5
ZAL
13%
19%
68%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
SUD
0 - 1
ZAL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |