Challenge League Round 5

FC Vaduz vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

FC Vaduz Neuchâtel Xamax
64 ELO 59
-0.1% Tilt 34.1%
977º General ELO ranking 1599º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
51.6%
FC Vaduz
24.4%
Draw
24%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Vaduz
-4%
-1%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Points and table prediction

FC Vaduz
Their league position
Neuchâtel Xamax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sion
79
79
100%
Thun
76
76
100%
FC Vaduz
49
49
0%
Neuchâtel Xamax
49
49
0%
FC Wil
44
44
100%
Aarau
43
43
0%
Stade Nyonnais
43
43
0%
AC Bellinzona
42
42
100%
Schaffhausen
38
38
100%
Baden
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Vaduz
Neuchâtel Xamax
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Vaduz
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2023
FCR
FC Ruggell
1 - 8
FC Vaduz
FCV
3%
6%
91%
65 17 48 0
13 Aug. 2023
BAD
Baden
2 - 3
FC Vaduz
FCV
21%
22%
57%
64 56 8 +1
06 Aug. 2023
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 1
Stade Nyonnais
STA
44%
26%
30%
64 62 2 0
30 Jul. 2023
WIL
FC Wil
3 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
36%
25%
39%
64 64 0 0
23 Jul. 2023
FCV
FC Vaduz
0 - 2
Sion
SIO
35%
26%
39%
65 67 2 -1

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2023
VFR
Kleinhüningen
0 - 8
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
5%
11%
84%
60 9 51 0
11 Aug. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
4 - 0
Thun
THU
20%
23%
57%
58 68 10 +2
06 Aug. 2023
FCA
Aarau
2 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
69%
19%
12%
57 69 12 +1
28 Jul. 2023
STA
Stade Nyonnais
1 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
61%
21%
18%
57 62 5 0
21 Jul. 2023
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
3 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
20%
23%
58%
55 64 9 +2