Challenge League Round 22

FC Vaduz vs Locarno analysis

FC Vaduz Locarno
69 ELO 52
3.4% Tilt 10.6%
1004º General ELO ranking 6794º
Country ELO ranking 87º
ELO win probability
74%
FC Vaduz
16.8%
Draw
9.2%
Locarno

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9.2%
Win probability
Locarno
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Vaduz
+3%
-20%
Locarno

ELO progression

FC Vaduz
Locarno
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2014
SER
Servette
2 - 3
FC Vaduz
FCV
49%
26%
26%
68 71 3 0
08 Feb. 2014
WOH
Wohlen
1 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
18%
24%
59%
69 53 16 -1
03 Feb. 2014
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
54%
23%
22%
68 63 5 +1
08 Dec. 2013
WOH
Wohlen
1 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
17%
23%
60%
68 53 15 0
01 Dec. 2013
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
34%
26%
40%
68 62 6 0

Matches

Locarno
Locarno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2014
LOC
Locarno
0 - 1
Schaffhausen
SCH
14%
20%
66%
53 70 17 0
09 Feb. 2014
WIN
Winterthur
2 - 1
Locarno
LOC
68%
20%
12%
53 67 14 0
09 Dec. 2013
LOC
Locarno
0 - 4
Servette
SER
17%
24%
60%
54 72 18 -1
04 Dec. 2013
WOH
Wohlen
0 - 4
Locarno
LOC
50%
24%
26%
52 54 2 +2
30 Nov. 2013
WIL
FC Wil
3 - 0
Locarno
LOC
71%
18%
11%
53 65 12 -1