Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
BVO
0 - 2
UTR
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 2
PSV
32%
24%
45%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 3
UTR
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TWE
3 - 1
UTR
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
GRA
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |