Utrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 1
UTR
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
UTR
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
UTR
3 - 1
RKC
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 1
UTR
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
WIL
4 - 3
SCH
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ADO
1 - 1
WIL
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
17%
22%
60%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |