EL Playoffs Semi-finals

Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis

Utrecht Sparta Rotterdam
86 ELO 82
1.7% Tilt 13.3%
108º General ELO ranking 198º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
54.4%
Utrecht
22.9%
Draw
22.7%
Sparta Rotterdam

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
Utrecht
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.7%
Win probability
Sparta Rotterdam
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Utrecht
+9%
+6%
Sparta Rotterdam

ELO progression

Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2024
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
3 - 3
Utrecht
UTR
53%
23%
24%
86 88 2 0
12 May. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
53%
23%
23%
86 82 4 0
05 May. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 0
Vitesse
VIT
61%
21%
18%
85 76 9 +1
28 Apr. 2024
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
2 - 2
Utrecht
UTR
18%
23%
59%
85 73 12 0
14 Apr. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
2 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
56%
23%
22%
85 80 5 0

Matches

Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2024
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
49%
24%
27%
83 80 3 0
12 May. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 1
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
53%
23%
23%
82 86 4 +1
05 May. 2024
PSV
PSV
4 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
66%
20%
15%
82 88 6 0
28 Apr. 2024
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 0
FC Volendam
VOL
67%
20%
13%
82 68 14 0
13 Apr. 2024
ALM
Almere City
2 - 3
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
31%
27%
42%
82 77 5 0