Eredivisie Round 10

Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis

Utrecht NAC Breda
78 ELO 68
-1.6% Tilt 10.4%
107º General ELO ranking 618º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
57.9%
Utrecht
23%
Draw
19.1%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
Utrecht
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.1%
Win probability
NAC Breda
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Utrecht
+7%
-7%
NAC Breda

ELO progression

Utrecht
NAC Breda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2017
VVV
VVV Venlo
3 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
37%
25%
38%
78 73 5 0
22 Oct. 2017
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
3 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
48%
25%
28%
79 79 0 -1
14 Oct. 2017
UTR
Utrecht
3 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
49%
24%
27%
79 74 5 0
01 Oct. 2017
VIT
Vitesse
1 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
40%
25%
34%
80 77 3 -1
24 Sep. 2017
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 7
PSV
PSV
28%
24%
48%
81 85 4 -1

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2017
NAC
NAC Breda
0 - 2
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
35%
26%
39%
68 74 6 0
14 Oct. 2017
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
32%
25%
43%
66 61 5 +2
30 Sep. 2017
NAC
NAC Breda
0 - 1
ADO Den Haag
ADO
40%
25%
35%
68 70 2 -2
23 Sep. 2017
FEY
Feyenoord
0 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
76%
15%
9%
67 84 17 +1
20 Sep. 2017
ACH
Achilles 29
4 - 3
NAC Breda
NAC
9%
14%
77%
67 46 21 0