Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ADO
1 - 1
UTR
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 0
RBC
58%
21%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 1
RKC
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 2
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 1
FEY
18%
22%
61%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |