Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
UTR
6 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 4
UTR
5%
11%
85%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 2
UTR
20%
21%
58%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
UTR
3 - 0
PSV
12%
18%
69%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AZA
3 - 0
FCE
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
AST
0 - 5
AZA
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AZA
3 - 0
TWE
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PSV
0 - 4
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
AZA
6 - 0
AST
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |