Eredivisie Round 16

Utrecht vs Ajax analysis

Utrecht Ajax
77 ELO 84
13.9% Tilt 8.1%
110º General ELO ranking 103º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.6%
Utrecht
25.3%
Draw
41.2%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
Utrecht
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.2%
Win probability
Ajax
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Utrecht
-3%
+4%
Ajax

ELO progression

Utrecht
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2015
GRA
De Graafschap
0 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
18%
24%
59%
77 58 19 0
29 Nov. 2015
UTR
Utrecht
4 - 2
Heracles
HER
47%
23%
29%
76 75 1 +1
22 Nov. 2015
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
48%
24%
28%
77 77 0 -1
12 Nov. 2015
UTR
Utrecht
2 - 1
TOP Oss
FCO
79%
14%
7%
76 54 22 +1
08 Nov. 2015
PSV
PSV
3 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
59%
22%
19%
76 82 6 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2015
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
Molde FK
MFK
45%
24%
31%
85 84 1 0
05 Dec. 2015
AJA
Ajax
5 - 2
Heerenveen
SCH
55%
23%
22%
85 79 6 0
29 Nov. 2015
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
33%
26%
42%
84 77 7 +1
26 Nov. 2015
CEL
Celtic
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
45%
24%
31%
84 82 2 0
21 Nov. 2015
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
Cambuur
BVO
68%
20%
12%
84 70 14 0