Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 0
BOS
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 2
AUS
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 0
UTR
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
UTR
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 4
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 2
BYM
32%
23%
45%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
23%
61%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
AJA
4 - 1
RBC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |