Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
RBC
0 - 1
UTR
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 2
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 3
UTR
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 2
UTR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 1
AJA
69%
19%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
WIL
0 - 6
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |