Utrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
FOR
3 - 3
UTR
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
GRO
2 - 2
UTR
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
UTR
4 - 1
EXC
59%
20%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 1
VIT
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 3
PSV
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
AJA
5 - 1
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 3
RBC
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 0
FOR
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
3 - 2
TWE
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |