Unterstrass vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
25%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
16º
15º
36
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BUO
2 - 1
FCU
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
FCU
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
4 - 0
SCE
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 0
FCU
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 3
FCC
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 1
PER
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SCE
4 - 0
GOL
52%
20%
28%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 4
LOC
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 2
GOL
65%
17%
17%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
5 - 0
GOL
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |