FC Ulaanbaatar vs SP Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DER
2 - 3
ULA
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ULA
1 - 1
ATF
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
KHC
0 - 4
ULA
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ULA
5 - 0
BCH
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
KHA
1 - 7
ULA
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SP Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 1
TBF
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SPF
2 - 0
DER
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ATF
2 - 1
SPF
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SPF
4 - 0
KHC
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
BCH
0 - 3
SPF
20%
19%
60%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |