Twenty 11 vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
77.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
10º
10º
26
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUF
3 - 2
FCT
77%
13%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
NOM
13%
16%
72%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
COA
2 - 0
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
GIA
12%
14%
74%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 1
FCT
96%
3%
1%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
DUN
37%
22%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 3
CHR
11%
15%
75%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FER
4 - 1
DUN
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 3
NSF
41%
21%
38%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
SUF
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |