New Zealand National League Sur round 5

Twenty 11 vs Coastal Spirit analysis

Twenty 11 Coastal Spirit
11 ELO 24
2.3% Tilt -0.4%
39250º General ELO ranking 8561º
125º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
6.5%
Twenty 11
12.2%
Draw
81.2%
Coastal Spirit

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
Twenty 11
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
81.2%
Win probability
Coastal Spirit
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twenty 11
+1%
+98%
Coastal Spirit

Points and table prediction

Twenty 11
Their league position
Coastal Spirit
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
10º
10º
31
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Christchurch United
49
49
100%
Cashmere Technical
39
42
100%
Coastal Spirit
31
31
100%
Dunedin
26
29
0%
Ferrymead Bays
26
29
0%
Nelson Suburbs
22
25
100%
Nomads Utd
20
23
100%
Green Island
16
16
100%
Selwyn United
10
10
100%
Twenty 11
10º
6
6
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Twenty 11
Coastal Spirit
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Twenty 11
Coastal Spirit
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twenty 11
Twenty 11
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
NOM
Nomads Utd
0 - 2
Twenty 11
FCT
92%
6%
2%
9 19 10 0
07 Apr. 2023
FCT
Twenty 11
0 - 1
Selwyn United
SUF
6%
12%
82%
9 20 11 0
31 Mar. 2023
GIA
Green Island
2 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
94%
5%
2%
9 21 12 0
25 Mar. 2023
FCT
Twenty 11
0 - 6
Cashmere Technical
CAS
2%
6%
92%
10 45 35 -1
13 May. 2022
FER
Ferrymead Bays
6 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
72%
17%
11%
11 21 10 -1

Matches

Coastal Spirit
Coastal Spirit
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
1 - 1
Cashmere Technical
CAS
5%
9%
86%
22 45 23 0
07 Apr. 2023
GIA
Green Island
0 - 1
Coastal Spirit
COA
55%
19%
26%
21 21 0 +1
02 Apr. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
0 - 4
Christchurch United
CHR
11%
15%
74%
23 40 17 -2
24 Mar. 2023
FER
Ferrymead Bays
3 - 0
Coastal Spirit
COA
38%
22%
41%
24 22 2 -1
27 Aug. 2022
COA
Coastal Spirit
0 - 2
Nomads Utd
NOM
70%
16%
14%
25 19 6 -1