Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 2
TWE
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TWE
3 - 0
FEY
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
TWE
3 - 1
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 2
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
HER
2 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 0
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
4 - 2
GRA
39%
24%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |