Twente vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
TWE
0 - 1
PSV
21%
24%
56%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
RKC
1 - 2
TWE
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 1
TWE
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
TWE
2 - 0
RKC
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
HER
0 - 4
TWE
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 3
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
AZA
5 - 1
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 3
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |