Twente vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
TWE
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 2
UTR
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ZWO
1 - 0
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 2
VIT
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 0
TWE
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
VVV
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FCE
3 - 1
HER
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
WIL
46%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 0
HER
74%
17%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |