Twente vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 3
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FEY
5 - 0
TWE
58%
22%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 4
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 2
TWE
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 1
UTR
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
BVO
2 - 3
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 2
GRO
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 6
PSV
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |