Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 0
EIN
62%
21%
18%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 0
RJC
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 1
TWE
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
TWE
2 - 1
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 0
TWE
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 2
EXC
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AZA
0 - 2
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
SCH
24%
21%
55%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |