Twente vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
ADO
0 - 1
TWE
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
TWE
2 - 3
HFC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
RJC
1 - 1
TWE
70%
17%
12%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
TWE
0 - 0
VVV
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
FEY
5 - 0
TWE
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
EXC
2 - 2
ZWO
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
BOS
1 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
EXC
1 - 6
FEY
10%
22%
68%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
BVV
2 - 3
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
UTR
5 - 3
EXC
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |