Twente vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
HIF
1 - 1
TWE
39%
24%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
TWE
1 - 0
HIF
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
S04
2 - 2
TWE
29%
25%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
OBK
1 - 7
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
TWE
1 - 0
SPA
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
8%
19%
74%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
KTE
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
BFC
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
KTE
2 - 1
CAR
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 6
CAR
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |