Qualif. Champions Play Offs. Final
Global 3-5
Twente vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
TWE
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
VAS
0 - 0
TWE
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
VAS
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
GFC
2 - 2
SLB
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
ARS
38%
24%
39%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 1
SLB
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 0
TRA
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
SLB
0 - 0
TFC
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |