Twente vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1986 |
UTR
1 - 2
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 2
NEC
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
AJA
6 - 0
TWE
91%
6%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
TWE
3 - 1
FOR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
BOS
2 - 1
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1986 |
AZA
0 - 4
GRO
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 1
HFC
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1986 |
UTR
1 - 2
AZA
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
AZA
2 - 2
FEY
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1986 |
GAE
1 - 1
AZA
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |