Eredivisie round 30

Twente vs Ajax analysis

Twente Ajax
81 ELO 88
3.4% Tilt -6.4%
107º General ELO ranking 94º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.3%
Twente
23%
Draw
53.6%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
Twente
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.6%
Win probability
Ajax
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-6%
+4%
Ajax

ELO progression

Twente
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2008
TWE
Twente
4 - 3
Vitesse
VIT
61%
22%
17%
81 70 11 0
11 Mar. 2008
VVV
VVV Venlo
0 - 2
Twente
TWE
32%
27%
41%
80 66 14 +1
01 Mar. 2008
TWE
Twente
1 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
45%
25%
31%
80 82 2 0
23 Feb. 2008
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
0 - 0
Twente
TWE
57%
23%
20%
80 82 2 0
16 Feb. 2008
RJC
Roda JC
3 - 1
Twente
TWE
47%
26%
27%
80 79 1 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2008
PSV
PSV
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
42%
24%
34%
88 88 0 0
16 Mar. 2008
AJA
Ajax
4 - 1
Willem II
WIL
82%
13%
6%
88 66 22 0
02 Mar. 2008
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
83%
12%
5%
88 63 25 0
24 Feb. 2008
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 3
Ajax
AJA
19%
22%
59%
88 78 10 0
15 Feb. 2008
AJA
Ajax
6 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
78%
14%
8%
88 65 23 0