Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 1
TWE
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 1
TWE
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
TWE
4 - 1
RBC
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
3 - 1
TWE
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
4 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 2
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 6
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |