Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 0
JON
68%
19%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
TWE
4 - 2
FEY
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
VOL
2 - 0
TWE
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
TWE
2 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TWE
4 - 0
ADO
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
BRU
2 - 1
AJA
37%
23%
40%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
ACM
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |