Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
SPA
2 - 0
TWE
69%
18%
14%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
FOR
2 - 1
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
TWE
2 - 1
BOS
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
HFC
3 - 0
TWE
56%
22%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
TWE
2 - 1
UTR
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
AJA
2 - 0
NEC
94%
5%
2%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 1
FOR
91%
7%
3%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
BOS
0 - 3
AJA
24%
22%
54%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
AJA
5 - 1
HFC
89%
8%
4%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |