Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
TWE
2 - 2
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
UTR
3 - 1
TWE
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 2
GRO
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
GAE
2 - 1
TWE
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 2
AZA
82%
11%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
AJA
6 - 1
NAC
93%
5%
2%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
BOS
1 - 1
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |