Eredivisie Round 1

Twente vs Ajax analysis

Twente Ajax
83 ELO 88
4.5% Tilt -11.6%
116º General ELO ranking 109º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.2%
Twente
26.4%
Draw
35.4%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
Twente
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.4%
Win probability
Ajax
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-6%
+4%
Ajax

ELO progression

Twente
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 1971
DWS
Amsterdam FC DWS
0 - 0
Twente
TWE
27%
29%
45%
84 69 15 0
31 May. 1971
TWE
Twente
0 - 0
ADO Den Haag
ADO
56%
24%
21%
84 84 0 0
23 May. 1971
MVV
MVV Maastricht
0 - 2
Twente
TWE
29%
29%
42%
84 70 14 0
16 May. 1971
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
74%
17%
10%
83 74 9 +1
09 May. 1971
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
42%
28%
30%
83 80 3 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 1971
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
4 - 1
Ajax
AJA
27%
27%
46%
88 80 8 0
02 Jun. 1971
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
Panathinaikos
PAN
90%
7%
4%
88 78 10 0
27 May. 1971
AJA
Ajax
1 - 3
Feyenoord
FEY
62%
20%
18%
88 88 0 0
25 May. 1971
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
26%
22%
52%
88 75 13 0
16 May. 1971
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
HFC Haarlem
HFC
96%
3%
1%
88 61 27 0