FC TVMK vs Warrior Valga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.5%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.1%
2.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 2
TVM
21%
22%
58%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
TRA
2 - 3
TVM
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LOT
1 - 10
TVM
10%
19%
71%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
TVM
2 - 1
TUL
83%
12%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
TVM
1 - 1
FLO
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Warrior Valga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LEL
1 - 5
WAR
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
WAR
2 - 2
TUL
38%
23%
39%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
WAR
1 - 3
TRA
27%
23%
51%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LEV
3 - 0
WAR
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
TAR
1 - 2
WAR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |