FC Thuringen vs Heiligenstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thuringen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SGS
4 - 3
FCT
17%
18%
65%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
FCT
6 - 1
SON
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BLA
2 - 5
FCT
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 2
SEE
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FWT
3 - 3
FCT
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heiligenstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 1
SVE
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 0
SCH
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 0
FCA
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SCW
0 - 0
SCH
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 2
MSW
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |