FC Thalwil vs SC Cham 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
15º
8º
31
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LAC
3 - 3
FCT
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
BAZ
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 4
FCT
33%
22%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 2
FCW
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCT
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SC Cham 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
FCM
59%
19%
23%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
FCC
24%
22%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
LUZ
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RSZ
5 - 3
CHA
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 3
ZUG
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |