Tavannes / Tramelan vs Ueberstorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
16º
11º
29
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 62 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
34% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 28 |
15º
|
73.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 65% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavannes / Tramelan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PRA
0 - 1
TAV
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CON
2 - 2
TAV
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
4 - 1
TAV
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TAV
3 - 2
LIE
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BUB
0 - 3
TAV
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ueberstorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 2
SCH
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CON
3 - 0
FCU
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
FCU
4 - 0
LIE
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 2
FCU
45%
21%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BUB
0 - 3
FCU
46%
22%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |