FC Sursee vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
4º
16º
6º
0
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
0 | 67 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 58 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 53 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 47 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
0 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 43 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
0 | 43 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 40 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 38 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 34 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 33 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 30 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
0 | 29 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 20 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 91% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
FCS
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
BRU
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
BUO
34%
21%
44%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
FCS
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 6
GOL
42%
21%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
FCC
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 2
ASC
71%
15%
14%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 2
FCU
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
ASC
61%
20%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 3
SCE
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |